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Stratfor analysis: Irrelevant tactics of Osama bin Laden's death

The killing of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, is probably the most successful of U.S. clandestine operations, the capture of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, in 2003. Confirmation of his death is an emotional victory for the United States and could have broad effects on the region's geopolitics, but death is irrelevant to bin Laden's al-Qaeda and the jihadist movement, the operational point of view, says Stratfor.

Americans continued to celebrate the killing of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, throughout the day May 2, outside the White House, near the place where stood once the World Trade Center and the rest of the country. The operation that led to bin Laden's death is among the most significant operational successes of U.S. intelligence in a decade. Although it is certainly an emotional victory for the United States, which could have consequences for the U.S. role in Afghanistan, as well as relations with Pakistan, bin Laden's elimination will have very little effect on the group's al-Qaeda movement as a whole and jihadists in general.

Because the status of "the most hunted man in the world, any dialogue with the other members of al-Qaeda risk being intercepted and thus to reveal the location. This forced bin Laden to be extremely cautious in terms of communication, for maintaining operational security within the group, and, in essence, to abandon an active role "command and control" in order to stay alive. It seems that bin Laden was helped to maintain a minimal communication by personal couriers who had some very high confidence. He did not have access to the Internet or telephone in Abbottabad, Pakistan. Even if the "network" to the communication was extremely limited, if the information published so far are correct, one of these messengers was found and traced to where bin Laden is hiding.

Because of the restrictions mentioned above, after the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan in October 2001, when he escaped from Tora Bora, bin Laden has been relegated to a symbolic role, and largely in al-Qaeda ideology. Consequently, the annual music barely texting while before had the means to record video messages. Frequency of increasingly lower quality and more doubtful of his messages was revealed when, in 2010, al-Qaeda has released a message on the occasion of commemorating the attacks of September 11 only on 21 January 2011.

The reality of the situation is that the "essence" of al-Qaeda - the central group, composed of leaders like bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri - was overshadowed by jihadists on the battlefield itself and in the last two years, she has lost even ideological role as leader of "Islamic holy war." The main threat is now represented by groups of "franchise" of al-Qaeda, such as the Arabian Peninsula and in the Islamic Maghreb - a group that recently conducted an attack in Marrakesh, Morocco. But even these groups are under intense pressure exerted by local governments and U.S. military operations and much of the current threat comes from terrorists and ordinary people acting individually - listening without any control groups, so- called "lone-wolves" (lone wolves). These groups might try to stage an attack in the United States to avenge the death of bin Laden, but do not have enough training capacity for significant transnational attacks.

Stratfor has long held that there is the possibility that bin Laden was already dead and in terms of its impact on terrorist operations, it could be argued that it was. That does not mean, however, that he was an important ideological leader, sought to be justified by the United States for his role in orchestrating the most devastating terrorist attack in U.S. history.

Aggressive information gathering efforts of the United States have left no completion: the killing of bin Laden was probably the main symbolic target of the CIA and all those involved in covert U.S. operations. Indeed, Obama said at the time of taking over office, personally instructed CIA director, Leon Panetta, the killing of al-Qaeda leader is a definite priority. Logistical challenges created by the capture of one individual helped by considerable resources were substantial. Ten years later, the United States of America have been able to achieve its target in October 2001.

The conclusion is that, emotionally, the threat of al-Qaeda and the jihadist movement is not any different in terms of operational after the death of Osama bin Laden.

Japan closes the Hamaoka nuclear power plant safety reasons the population

Japanese power company Chubu Electric Power announced Monday it will shut the Hamaoka nuclear power plant (central Romania), following a request by the Government in Tokyo, according to AFP. The Japanese Government has asked the plant closed for security reasons the people staying in the area, a region of intense seismic activity.

"We decided to close units 3, 4 and 5 of the plant, " said company president, adding that he believed the Government's request "very serious", despite the fact that Japanese nuclear power plant complies with the earthquakes.

Reactors 1 and 2 of the plant at Hamaoka are already closed.

Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan are cautioned that 87% chance that an earthquake measuring over 8 degrees to hit the region over the next 30 years Hamaoka, according to seismology.

Osama bin Laden's message before his death: There will be no security in the U.S. security in Palestine

Al-Qaida founder Osama bin Laden, warned that there will be no security in the United States' security in Palestine, in an audio message recorded before his murder by American commandos into Pakistan and was published Sunday on an Islamist website, AFP.

In his message addressed to U.S. President, Barack Obama, Osama bin Laden warned that "America will not dream of security until we live it in Palestine security."

"It is unfair for you to live in peace while our brothers (from Gaza) Strip live in despair. Therefore, our attacks against the will of Allah will continue as long as you continue your support for the Israelis," he added, in registration.

'U.S. can not declare that Al-Qaida organization has been strategically defeated, even if Osama bin Laden was killed, said Tom Donilon Sunday, security adviser to President Barack Obama AFP. Donilon also found that Ayman al-Zawahiri, second in the hierarchy of al-Qaida is "far from being a leader," the Osama bin Laden's stature.

The Pentagon released Saturday video footage of Osama bin Laden, found his home in Abbottabad (Pakistan), after he was killed following a raid by American special forces, BBC News announced. The film depicts the terrorist leader while looking at the television images of himself, but also preparing a video message to the U.S..

Information obtained from the raid on bin Laden's complex quantity and quality are valuable. They show that bin Laden was involved with al-Qaida until the last day and offer clues about the identities of network leaders, phone numbers and addresses, as well as on the functioning of the terrorist organization.

German millionaire Gunter Sachs, known for his three-year marriage to actress Brigitte Bardot, committed suicide

German playboy Gunter Sachs, known for his three-year marriage to actress Brigitte Bardot, killed himself Saturday at his home resort of Gstaad in the Swiss Alps, transmit HuffingtonPost. Sachs was 78 years old and suffering from an incurable degenerative disease.

In a statement released by his family, at his request Sachs, millionaire said he chose to end their life after he concluded that he suffers from a serious degenerative disease that affected his memory and ability to communicate.

"I always did before the great challenges, " Sachs said in statement.

AP wrote that the family did not give details about the location or circumstances of death millionaire, but the weekly Focus reported that Sachs was shot Saturday at his home resort of Gstaad in the Swiss Alps.

Sachs was born in 1932 into a wealthy family of German industrialists. He used his intelligence and wealth to fund a glamorous lifestyle, which has fascinated the German public opinion '60s and '70s.

At that time, German tabloids reporting on his connections with romance and friendships on celebrities such as Andy Warhol.

Sachs has become known as a photographer, documentary filmmaker and art collector.

Swiss magazine Bilanz estimated the value of its assets of $ 340-455 million.

Sachs was married to Brigitte Bardot, between 1966-1969.

The millionaire had three children: Rolf (first marriage), Christian and Alexander (whose mother is the third wife of Sachs, Mirjam Larsson).

Austria: Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader be extradited

An Austrian court ruled Monday that former Croatian Prime Minister Ivo Sanader can be extradited to his homeland where he will be tried for acts of corruption, Reuters. Former chief executive of Croatia between 2003-2009, Sanader was arrested in Austria in December 2010 under an international warrant for his arrest.

Sanader was wanted by the authorities in Zagreb for an investigation of corruption. Croatian prosecutor said seeking punishment of 15 years in prison for corruption and abuse of power for the former premier.

Hans Rathgeb, president of the Salzburg Regional Court, Sanader said that Austrian authorities will remain in custody after his lawyers appealed the decision Monday.

Sanader Croatia had left a day before his arrest, shortly before the Parliament in Zagreb waive his immunity.

Prosecutors suspecteza him that it was in power, Sanader was behind a plan for setting up secret funds for the HDZ, the conservative political faction. Sanader is the highest ranking Croatian accused of corruption so far.

Croatian Office requested the fight against corruption in December 2010 blocking properties and assets of Sanader, among which several businesses and apartments.

Just days after his arrest in Austria Sanader, Parliament adopted the law in Zagreb that allows seizure of assets obtained through illicit means, the decision of the Croatian parliament authorities as part of the fight against organized crime and corruption, a country aspiring to join European Union in 2012.

The document stipulates that the authorities can seize property both before and during investigations. The judges will decide which part of his fortune was acquired through illegal means and, once the verdict is announced, the goods will be taken over by the state.

The law also obliges banks to provide information about the finances of suspects.

Istanbul: World leaders meet to try to develop a 10-year plan to help poor countries

The leaders of the 48 least developed countries in the world, those of donor countries and international organizations and institutions of importance (including the European Commission and World Bank) meet in Istanbul on Monday under the aegis of a UN summit to form a new plan helping the poorest countries on the planet in the next 10 years, announced Monday. At the opening ceremony of the Summit which will take 5 days were present European Commission President José Manuel Barroso and Turkish President Abdullah Gul.

Following the summit talks, it wants to establish "measures to build infrastructure for the poorest countries before they reach a self-sufficient economy, fight poverty and create decent jobs, " stated representatives of UN summit opening site.

Another hot topic on the agenda will be to raise food prices, social unrest and political power.

The summit is taking part representatives of the least developed countries (33 in Africa, 14 from Asia, plus Haiti). These countries have a population of 645 million people, expected to double by 2050.

UN conference on this theme occurs every 10 years. This is the fourth such conference, the first three being hosted by France (1981 and 1990) and Brussels (in 2001).

Palestinian Authority announces that can not pay salaries for May since Israel stopped transferring tax collected

Palestinian Authority, the lead in the West Bank, said Monday it could not pay salaries for the first time since 2007 because of Israel's decision to stop transferring funds it collects on its behalf, said on Monday. Prime Minister Salam Fayyad said the Israeli decision has executive authority in a financial position "very difficult".

Fayyad said that since mid 2007, the Palestinian Authority paid "promptly" on the salaries of 150,000 employees who have, in the 5th of each month. "We are now on the 9th of May and I could not fulfill our obligations," said Palestinian Prime Minister.

According to Fayyad, Israel's decision was prompted by concerns of the authorities in Jerusalem about the agreement signed last week between Fatah and Hamas. The government in Ramallah has been in a financial position as "very difficult," Palestinian official said.

Government of Israel decided on May 1, to stop the transfer of funds, which represent about 70% of revenues Palestinian Authority, saying the money would reach the Hamas militant group considered a terrorist by the authorities in Jerusalem.

On Wednesday, Mahmoud Abbas and Khaled Meshaal, leader of Fatah, Hamas respectively, have signed an agreement in Cairo, which put an end to the rupture of four years. Palestinian Authority President and Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas said the Palestinians have decided to "turn the page forever splitting the dark."

On 1 May, the Israeli Ministry of Finance said it will delay the transfer of taxes collected by the Palestinian Authority until it is proved that money does not reach Hamas. Also, Obama said the U.S. administration will reconsider its policy of aid to the Palestinian Authority.

Hamas is considered a terrorist by the U.S. and Israel. Islamist groups would terminate the state of Israel and to support bin Laden.

Two of Diana's dresses sold at auction for 276,000 dollars

Two dresses that had belonged to Princess Diana were sold Sunday at an auction in Beverly Hills, Calif., for 276,000 dollars, said Julien's auction house, according to AFP. The two dresses bearing the signature of Catherine Walker, one of Diana's favorites, from his marriage with Prince Charles in 1981 until the death of Princess in 1997.

The first of dresses, black and Indian-inspired motifs, created in 1992 for the princely couple's official visit to British India, was awarded 144 thousand dollars, according to the auction before its value was estimated at 40-60 thousand dollars.

The second, a pale blue dress of muslin, also estimated at 40-60 thousand dollars, was sold for 132,000 dollars. Princess Diana wore this dress three times, including at Cannes in 1987.

In the same auction were sold several items that belonged to the collection of Hollywood stars such as Marlene Dietrich, Gloria Swanson and Marilyn Monroe.

Pakistani Ambassador to U.S.: heads would roll after the discovery that Bin Laden fled to Pakistan years

Pakistani Ambassador to the United States, Hussain Haqqani, has assured that "heads will fall among Pakistanis Senior" after discovering the fact that Osama bin Laden took refuge in Pakistan for years. He explained that a decision in this regard could be taken immediately after completion of the investigation. Pakistani ambassador made the remarks in an interview given to CNN and took the France Presse.

"If these heads fall for incompetence, we will inform the United States. If it proves collusion, then will be zero tolerance" - said Hussain Haqqani.

White House demanded, moreover, the authorities in Islamabad to explain how it was possible that the world's most wanted man to live for years in the Pakistani city of Abbottabad. Request Americans takes place in a context where Washington has not informed the Pakistani authorities about the operation that launched her to kill the leader of Al Qaida, one week ago.

Sunday, Mr. Obama said that Bin Laden would have benefited from support to "just inside" Pakistan. "

Osama bin Laden lived in Pakistan for over seven years - said Saturday officials of the Pakistani security services told Reuters. One of the widows terrorist leader told investigators the terrorist group Al Qaeda leader lived in a village in Pakistan for almost two and half years before moving to the nearby city of Abbottabad, where he was found and killed U.S. forces.

Air France 447: It was part of the black box found

Search teams have recovered the black box part of the Air France plane that crashed into the Atlantic Ocean, in 2009, but not containing the "key data", according to investigators quoted by The Telegraph.

Representatives of the French Bureau of Investigation and Analysis (BEA) said the chassis of one of the flight recorders were found using submarines Remorse.

"The chassis black box without protection module that contains the data was found during a dive of a submarine Remorse 6000, which lasted 12 hours," it said in a statement released by the BEA.

So far, several pieces of wreckage Air France aircraft that crashed into the Atlantic Ocean in 2009, with 228 people on board were recovered by underwater team. A fourth attempt to locate the aircraft began last month, hoping that will determine the cause of the disaster still remained without explanation. The wreck was recovered in early April by a rescue team to use unmanned submarines.

Airbus A330 of Air France, which provides the link between Rio de Janeiro and Paris, disappeared off the Brazilian coast on the night of May 31 to June 1, with 228 people on board. Reasons device collapse, which scored its technical problems have not been clarified yet.

On the basis of race crash Rio-Paris for four factors, the London office of law firm indicated that investigates the causes of collapse. The first reason is the collapse of the climatic factor, represented by severe turbulence. Failure of pitot probes, which have provided false information on the speed of flight, is a second element. In third place is a problem ADIRU navigation system, and the fourth element was that the pilots were not trained enough and have not had an adequate reaction rate.